Amistosos Selecciones Sub 20 Round 5

Suiza U20 vs Italia U20 analysis

Suiza U20 Italia U20
58 ELO 69
-3.7% Tilt 1.7%
4496º General ELO ranking 1619º
51º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
30.5%
Suiza U20
24.5%
Draw
45%
Italia U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
Suiza U20
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45%
Win probability
Italia U20
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Suiza U20
-15%
+55%
Italia U20

ELO progression

Suiza U20
Italia U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Suiza U20
Suiza U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2007
GER
Alemania U20
4 - 0
Suiza U20
SUI
60%
21%
19%
59 67 8 0
27 Mar. 2007
SUI
Suiza U20
0 - 1
Austria U20
AUT
52%
23%
25%
59 58 1 0
10 Oct. 2006
AUT
Austria U20
2 - 3
Suiza U20
SUI
51%
23%
26%
58 61 3 +1
13 Sep. 2006
SUI
Suiza U20
0 - 1
Italia U20
ITA
31%
24%
45%
58 68 10 0
30 Aug. 2006
SUI
Suiza U20
0 - 1
Alemania U20
GER
37%
23%
40%
59 65 6 -1

Matches

Italia U20
Italia U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2007
GER
Alemania U20
0 - 0
Italia U20
ITA
45%
25%
30%
69 66 3 0
01 Feb. 2007
ITA
Italia U20
2 - 0
Austria U20
AUT
61%
21%
18%
68 59 9 +1
06 Dec. 2006
ITA
Italia U20
1 - 0
Alemania U20
GER
46%
23%
31%
68 66 2 0
03 Oct. 2006
AUT
Austria U20
4 - 2
Italia U20
ITA
30%
24%
45%
68 59 9 0
13 Sep. 2006
SUI
Suiza U20
0 - 1
Italia U20
ITA
31%
24%
45%
68 58 10 0