UEFA EC U21 Group D Round 2

Suiza U21 vs Italia U21 analysis

Suiza U21 Italia U21
69 ELO 79
4.7% Tilt -3.1%
2016º General ELO ranking 712º
23º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
29.1%
Suiza U21
24.4%
Draw
46.5%
Italia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
Suiza U21
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.5%
Win probability
Italia U21
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Suiza U21
-12%
+1%
Italia U21

ELO progression

Suiza U21
Italia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Suiza U21
Suiza U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2023
NOR
Noruega U21
1 - 2
Suiza U21
SUI
38%
25%
38%
69 64 5 0
16 Jun. 2023
GER
Alemania U21
3 - 1
Suiza U21
SUI
69%
18%
13%
70 82 12 -1
28 Mar. 2023
SUI
Suiza U21
2 - 1
Israel U21
ISR
57%
22%
20%
70 65 5 0
24 Mar. 2023
ESP
España U21
3 - 2
Suiza U21
SUI
80%
14%
6%
70 87 17 0
24 Sep. 2022
NOR
Noruega U21
3 - 2
Suiza U21
SUI
35%
24%
41%
71 63 8 -1

Matches

Italia U21
Italia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jun. 2023
FRA
Francia U21
2 - 1
Italia U21
ITA
53%
23%
24%
79 82 3 0
27 Mar. 2023
ITA
Italia U21
3 - 1
Ucrania U21
UKR
64%
21%
16%
79 68 11 0
24 Mar. 2023
SRB
Serbia U21
0 - 2
Italia U21
ITA
19%
23%
58%
78 64 14 +1
19 Nov. 2022
ITA
Italia U21
2 - 4
Alemania U21
GER
28%
24%
49%
79 82 3 -1
26 Sep. 2022
ITA
Italia U21
1 - 1
Japón U21
JPN
73%
17%
11%
79 64 15 0