Sweden U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
SWE
0 - 2
HRV
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
4 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 1
SWE
74%
16%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
SWE
2 - 0
ESP
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
SWE
3 - 2
LVA
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
PRT
1 - 3
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
FRA
1 - 2
PRT
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
PRT
1 - 2
FRA
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
PRT
4 - 1
SVK
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
ENG
1 - 2
PRT
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |