Sweden U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
SVK
1 - 0
SWE
31%
25%
44%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
SWE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
SWE
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
FIN
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 1
SWE
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
LVA
2 - 2
POL
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
POL
1 - 3
UKR
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
GEO
0 - 5
POL
29%
25%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
SWE
1 - 0
POL
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
POL
3 - 0
BGR
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |