European U21 Championship qualifying Group F Round 3

Suecia U21 vs Italia U21 analysis

Suecia U21 Italia U21
69 ELO 79
13.6% Tilt -2.8%
1851º General ELO ranking 715º
21º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
33.1%
Suecia U21
24.5%
Draw
42.4%
Italia U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
Suecia U21
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.4%
Win probability
Italia U21
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Suecia U21
-4%
-4%
Italia U21

ELO progression

Suecia U21
Italia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Suecia U21
Suecia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2022
LUX
Luxemburgo U21
0 - 3
Suecia U21
SWE
8%
16%
76%
69 33 36 0
29 Mar. 2022
SWE
Suecia U21
0 - 2
Irlanda U21
IRL
73%
17%
11%
70 60 10 -1
16 Nov. 2021
IRL
Irlanda U21
1 - 0
Suecia U21
SWE
21%
23%
56%
71 59 12 -1
12 Nov. 2021
SWE
Suecia U21
4 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
74%
16%
10%
70 59 11 +1
12 Oct. 2021
ITA
Italia U21
1 - 1
Suecia U21
SWE
60%
22%
18%
70 79 9 0

Matches

Italia U21
Italia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jun. 2022
LUX
Luxemburgo U21
0 - 3
Italia U21
ITA
6%
15%
79%
79 32 47 0
29 Mar. 2022
ITA
Italia U21
1 - 0
Bosnia U21
BIH
77%
16%
7%
79 59 20 0
25 Mar. 2022
MNE
Montenegro U21
1 - 1
Italia U21
ITA
8%
18%
74%
79 52 27 0
16 Nov. 2021
ITA
Italia U21
4 - 2
Rumanía U21
ROU
63%
22%
15%
79 69 10 0
12 Nov. 2021
IRL
Irlanda U21
0 - 2
Italia U21
ITA
14%
21%
65%
79 59 20 0