U21 EC Qualifying Repesca. Final
Global 4-3
Sweden U21 vs France U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
SWE
4 - 3
TUR
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
SWE
3 - 0
GRC
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
SWE
1 - 0
SVK
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
ISL
0 - 2
SWE
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
France U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 0
SWE
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
ISL
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
KAZ
1 - 5
FRA
8%
16%
76%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
6 - 0
SIN
84%
13%
4%
|
83 | 44 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 0
BLR
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |