Sudan U20s vs Ethiopia U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
63.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
DZA
1 - 1
REA
82%
12%
5%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
REA
3 - 5
PAL
88%
10%
2%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 2
REA
87%
11%
3%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ZAN
1 - 0
REA
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
TAN
1 - 2
REA
19%
20%
62%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ethiopia U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
ETH
2 - 0
YIB
83%
12%
6%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BDI
1 - 0
ETH
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 2
BDI
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
GHA
4 - 0
ETH
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 1
GHA
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |