Sud América vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 0
SUD
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 0
BOS
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 4
SUD
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 1
ETS
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
RAC
2 - 3
SUD
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 2
NAC
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEN
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
3 - 1
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 3
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |