Sud América vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SUD
0 - 1
ETS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
SUD
1 - 1
CER
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 0
SUD
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 1
SUD
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 4
SUD
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DEP
0 - 4
FEN
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
ETS
1 - 0
FEN
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 2
FEN
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
FEN
1 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
FEN
1 - 2
RAC
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |