Stuttgart vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2006 |
STU
1 - 2
MID
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
ARB
2 - 1
STU
28%
28%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
STU
0 - 0
BRE
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
KOL
0 - 0
STU
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
STU
0 - 1
MSV
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
HSV
1 - 0
M05
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
M05
1 - 1
ARB
52%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BRE
4 - 2
M05
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
M05
4 - 2
KOL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
BYM
3 - 2
M05
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |