DFB Pokal Quarter-finals

Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg analysis

Stuttgart FC Augsburg
94 ELO 88
6.5% Tilt 21.7%
25º General ELO ranking 86º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
72.1%
Stuttgart
16.5%
Draw
11.4%
FC Augsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
Stuttgart
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.4%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Stuttgart
FC Augsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2025
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 2
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
58%
21%
21%
94 91 3 0
29 Jan. 2025
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 4
PSG
PSG
29%
22%
50%
94 96 2 0
25 Jan. 2025
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 0
Stuttgart
STU
22%
23%
55%
95 91 4 -1
21 Jan. 2025
SBR
Slovan Bratislava
1 - 3
Stuttgart
STU
10%
17%
73%
94 79 15 +1
18 Jan. 2025
STU
Stuttgart
4 - 0
SC Freiburg
SCF
59%
22%
20%
94 91 3 0

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 2025
STP
FC St Pauli
1 - 1
FC Augsburg
AUG
37%
26%
38%
88 88 0 0
25 Jan. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg
2 - 1
Heidenheim
HEI
43%
24%
33%
87 87 0 +1
19 Jan. 2025
BRE
Werder Bremen
0 - 2
FC Augsburg
AUG
51%
23%
25%
87 89 2 0
15 Jan. 2025
FCU
Union Berlin
0 - 2
FC Augsburg
AUG
48%
25%
28%
86 89 3 +1
12 Jan. 2025
AUG
FC Augsburg
0 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
17%
20%
63%
86 94 8 0