Stuttgart vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
17%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1978 |
S04
3 - 2
STU
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
STU
2 - 0
MSV
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 3
STU
58%
20%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
BVB
4 - 3
STU
55%
22%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
STU
1 - 0
HSV
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ZUR
1 - 1
BAS
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
5 - 2
NEX
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 3
STU
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
SIO
0 - 0
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
BAS
2 - 1
CSC
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |