Bundesliga round 5

Stuttgart vs Köln analysis

Stuttgart Köln
79 ELO 77
1.6% Tilt 16.7%
25º General ELO ranking 88º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
40.4%
Stuttgart
24%
Draw
35.7%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
Stuttgart
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.7%
Win probability
Köln
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stuttgart
-1%
-3%
Köln

ELO progression

Stuttgart
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2020
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 2
Stuttgart
STU
47%
24%
29%
77 81 4 0
08 Oct. 2020
SCF
SC Freiburg
0 - 3
Stuttgart
STU
44%
26%
31%
77 80 3 0
03 Oct. 2020
STU
Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen
LEV
17%
20%
62%
78 87 9 -1
26 Sep. 2020
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 4
Stuttgart
STU
45%
25%
30%
77 80 3 +1
19 Sep. 2020
STU
Stuttgart
2 - 3
SC Freiburg
SCF
31%
24%
45%
78 81 3 -1

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Oct. 2020
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt
EIN
22%
21%
57%
77 86 9 0
03 Oct. 2020
KOL
Köln
1 - 3
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
26%
24%
50%
77 85 8 0
26 Sep. 2020
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 0
Köln
KOL
36%
24%
40%
77 78 1 0
19 Sep. 2020
KOL
Köln
2 - 3
Hoffenheim
HOF
20%
20%
60%
78 86 8 -1
12 Sep. 2020
ALT
Altglienicke
0 - 6
Köln
KOL
7%
13%
81%
78 51 27 0