Stuttgart II vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stuttgart II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SGS
1 - 3
STU
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2015 |
STU
1 - 3
PRE
31%
28%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SGD
4 - 1
STU
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
COT
2 - 3
STU
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
STU
0 - 0
OSN
29%
27%
44%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ERZ
2 - 0
SVS
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ERZ
1 - 0
SGF
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
SGS
2 - 0
ERZ
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 0
OSN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
AUE
0 - 0
ERZ
9%
18%
73%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |