Sturt Lions vs Modbury Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
46%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
12º
11º
30
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
3º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
49% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
77.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
93.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 0
ADE
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ADO
3 - 0
SLF
62%
19%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 2
ADE
10%
15%
76%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
1 - 4
SLF
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SLF
2 - 2
SAP
22%
19%
59%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modbury Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MOD
1 - 3
ADO
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 0
MOD
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 1
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
SAP
2 - 4
MOD
47%
21%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MOD
4 - 1
WAD
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |