Sturt Lions vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
52.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ADO
2 - 2
SLF
62%
19%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
1 - 1
ADE
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 1
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SLF
4 - 1
ADE
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SLF
1 - 1
CRO
32%
23%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
NEM
0 - 0
ADE
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
NEM
0 - 1
SAP
77%
13%
9%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ADE
2 - 1
NEM
16%
20%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
NEM
3 - 0
CAM
55%
21%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CUM
0 - 3
NEM
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |