Austrian Bundesliga Round 3

Sturm Graz vs Salzburg analysis

Sturm Graz Salzburg
75 ELO 71
6.7% Tilt 7.7%
550º General ELO ranking 531º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.8%
Sturm Graz
22.3%
Draw
17.9%
Salzburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.9%
Win probability
Salzburg
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sturm Graz
+11%
+20%
Salzburg

ELO progression

Sturm Graz
Salzburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1982
SIM
Simmeringer SC
0 - 2
Sturm Graz
STR
51%
24%
25%
72 71 1 0
21 Aug. 1982
4 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
56%
23%
21%
72 70 2 0
25 May. 1982
LAS
LASK
1 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
47%
26%
27%
71 68 3 +1
22 May. 1982
AUS
Austria Wien
6 - 1
Sturm Graz
STR
73%
17%
10%
72 81 9 -1
15 May. 1982
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 2
Wiener SC
WIE
59%
22%
19%
73 69 4 -1

Matches

Salzburg
Salzburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 1982
RBS
Salzburg
3 - 0
51%
26%
24%
69 73 4 0
21 Aug. 1982
WIE
Wiener SC
1 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
63%
21%
17%
68 70 2 +1
25 May. 1982
RBS
Salzburg
3 - 0
Wiener SC
WIE
45%
26%
30%
66 70 4 +2
22 May. 1982
SSW
SSW Innsbruck
9 - 0
Salzburg
RBS
61%
23%
16%
67 73 6 -1
15 May. 1982
RBS
Salzburg
3 - 0
FC Linz
LIN
52%
26%
22%
66 71 5 +1