Sturm Graz vs SV Ried analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
MAT
1 - 1
STR
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
STR
4 - 0
RBS
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
AUS
0 - 0
STR
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
STR
0 - 0
GRA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
SWB
3 - 1
STR
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
RIE
0 - 0
RAP
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
MAT
3 - 1
RIE
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
AWM
0 - 0
RIE
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
AUS
3 - 0
RIE
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
RIE
2 - 1
RBS
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |