Sturm Graz vs TSV Hartberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
2º
18
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
STR
3 - 1
SVA
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
1 - 2
STR
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
LAS
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STR
4 - 0
ALT
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
STR
1 - 2
DYN
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Hartberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
DOR
3 - 2
HAR
6%
13%
81%
|
76 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 0
RIE
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SCA
4 - 1
HAR
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
0 - 2
RBS
29%
24%
47%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
WAT
2 - 1
HAR
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |