Sturm Graz vs FC Kärnten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FCK
2 - 2
STR
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
STR
1 - 3
SUP
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
STR
3 - 3
MAC
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
GRA
2 - 1
STR
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
STR
0 - 2
AUS
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kärnten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
FCK
2 - 2
STR
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
SWB
2 - 1
FCK
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2002 |
FCK
4 - 2
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
FCK
0 - 3
RAP
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
RBS
0 - 0
FCK
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |