Austrian Bundesliga Round 3

Sturm Graz vs Admira Wacker analysis

Sturm Graz Admira Wacker
80 ELO 76
6.1% Tilt 8.1%
550º General ELO ranking 680º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
59.5%
Sturm Graz
21.7%
Draw
18.8%
Admira Wacker

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
Sturm Graz
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
18.8%
Win probability
Admira Wacker
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sturm Graz
+7%
-3%
Admira Wacker

ELO progression

Sturm Graz
Admira Wacker
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2004
SVP
SV Pasching
3 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
11%
21%
68%
80 59 21 0
14 Jul. 2004
STR
Sturm Graz
3 - 1
Mattersburg
MAT
59%
22%
20%
79 73 6 +1
20 May. 2004
STR
Sturm Graz
4 - 1
SW Bregenz
SWB
50%
24%
26%
78 77 1 +1
15 May. 2004
FCK
FC Kärnten
2 - 0
Sturm Graz
STR
40%
25%
35%
78 75 3 0
09 May. 2004
STR
Sturm Graz
0 - 2
Grazer AK
GRA
43%
25%
32%
78 82 4 0

Matches

Admira Wacker
Admira Wacker
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2004
AWM
Admira Wacker
3 - 0
SW Bregenz
SWB
40%
26%
34%
75 78 3 0
14 Jul. 2004
AUS
Austria Wien
2 - 1
Admira Wacker
AWM
59%
23%
18%
74 82 8 +1
20 May. 2004
AWM
Admira Wacker
2 - 1
Grazer AK
GRA
29%
25%
46%
73 82 9 +1
15 May. 2004
RAP
Rapid Wien
1 - 3
Admira Wacker
AWM
61%
23%
17%
71 80 9 +2
08 May. 2004
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 1
Admira Wacker
AWM
57%
23%
19%
71 77 6 0