Sturm Graz II vs Union St. Florian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sturm Graz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
VOC
0 - 0
STU
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
STU
2 - 0
GLE
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SKA
3 - 0
STU
60%
22%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
STU
1 - 1
SVV
48%
23%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 2
STU
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Union St. Florian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
STF
0 - 2
GLE
61%
22%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
SVV
0 - 0
STF
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
STF
1 - 1
KAP
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LAJ
0 - 4
STF
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
STF
1 - 2
WEL
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |