Strogino vs Sever Murmansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strogino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
KOL
1 - 0
STR
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ZNA
0 - 1
STR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
STR
2 - 1
SPA
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
STR
0 - 3
FCV
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 1
STR
64%
22%
15%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
4 - 1
DNE
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 1
LOK
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
0 - 0
FCR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 0
SEV
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ZNA
1 - 0
SEV
16%
21%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -2 |