Strausberg vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
71.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strausberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BFC
1 - 0
STR
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NEU
2 - 3
STR
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
STR
1 - 1
BSC
17%
19%
64%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
LUC
5 - 2
NEU
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BSC
1 - 1
LUC
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 3
WAL
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 2
HAN
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 3
LUC
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |