Non League Premier Southern. Jor. 16

Stratford Town vs Merthyr Town analysis

Stratford Town Merthyr Town
30 ELO 42
0.7% Tilt -3.9%
4969º General ELO ranking 5357º
211º Country ELO ranking 233º
ELO win probability
27.7%
Stratford Town
25.6%
Draw
46.7%
Merthyr Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
Stratford Town
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.7%
Win probability
Merthyr Town
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stratford Town
+15%
-13%
Merthyr Town

ELO progression

Stratford Town
Merthyr Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stratford Town
Stratford Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2016
CHI
Chippenham Town
2 - 1
Stratford Town
STR
68%
19%
13%
32 42 10 0
11 Oct. 2016
CIR
Cirencester Town
1 - 2
Stratford Town
STR
49%
23%
28%
32 29 3 0
08 Oct. 2016
STR
Stratford Town
2 - 0
Dunstable Town
DUN
29%
24%
47%
29 37 8 +3
01 Oct. 2016
CAM
Cambridge City
0 - 0
Stratford Town
STR
35%
24%
41%
29 22 7 0
24 Sep. 2016
STR
Stratford Town
0 - 5
Weymouth
WEY
31%
25%
44%
32 39 7 -3

Matches

Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2016
MER
Merthyr Town
1 - 1
Slough Town
SLO
46%
23%
31%
41 42 1 0
11 Oct. 2016
MER
Merthyr Town
2 - 0
Dorchester Town
DOR
78%
14%
8%
41 28 13 0
08 Oct. 2016
CHE
Chesham United
1 - 1
Merthyr Town
MER
45%
25%
30%
41 39 2 0
01 Oct. 2016
WHI
Whitehawk
2 - 0
Merthyr Town
MER
49%
26%
26%
42 45 3 -1
27 Sep. 2016
BAN
Banbury United
1 - 1
Merthyr Town
MER
42%
26%
32%
42 41 1 0
X