Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
10º
42
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STE
5 - 0
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
PET
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STR
1 - 0
CLY
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
STR
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 1
STR
55%
21%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CLY
0 - 0
FOR
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 2
BRA
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 1
FOR
42%
27%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 0
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |