Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
STI
1 - 1
STR
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
STR
1 - 0
DUM
60%
21%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
BRE
4 - 1
STR
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
STR
2 - 1
ARB
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
ALL
1 - 2
STR
33%
25%
43%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2004 |
BER
1 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 3
AYR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
STI
3 - 1
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 2
DUM
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BRE
2 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |