Stranraer vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
49.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
9º
7º
61
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stranraer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
EAS
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
0 - 1
STR
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
STR
0 - 1
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STI
1 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 0
STE
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 2
ELG
53%
25%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 0
DUM
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
BLA
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
DUM
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |