Second Division Round 19

Stranraer vs Ayr United analysis

Stranraer Ayr United
48 ELO 51
30.8% Tilt 12.3%
5015º General ELO ranking 801º
59º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
52.6%
Stranraer
21.2%
Draw
26.2%
Ayr United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
Stranraer
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.2%
Win probability
Ayr United
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stranraer
+3%
-3%
Ayr United

ELO progression

Stranraer
Ayr United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stranraer
Stranraer
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2013
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 3
Stranraer
STR
40%
25%
35%
48 45 3 0
29 Dec. 2012
STR
Stranraer
0 - 2
Brechin City
BRE
48%
23%
29%
49 54 5 -1
26 Dec. 2012
QOS
Queen of the South
4 - 1
Stranraer
STR
78%
15%
7%
49 64 15 0
18 Dec. 2012
EAS
East Fife
0 - 1
Stranraer
STR
61%
21%
18%
48 53 5 +1
15 Dec. 2012
STR
Stranraer
3 - 2
Alloa Athletic
ALL
34%
24%
42%
47 59 12 +1

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2013
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 5
Queen of the South
QOS
23%
25%
52%
51 65 14 0
29 Dec. 2012
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
36%
25%
39%
51 59 8 0
26 Dec. 2012
ALB
Albion Rovers
2 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
29%
24%
47%
52 44 8 -1
15 Dec. 2012
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 3
East Fife
EAS
52%
23%
25%
53 52 1 -1
01 Dec. 2012
FOR
Forfar Athletic
2 - 1
Ayr United
AYR
48%
22%
31%
53 52 1 0