FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 3-4
Stourport Swifts vs Hanley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stourport Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 2
STO
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
STU
7 - 1
STO
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 1
STO
11%
16%
74%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
STO
2 - 0
COV
29%
21%
50%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STO
4 - 2
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hanley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 2
STO
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
KID
4 - 1
HAN
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
1 - 2
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 1
HPF
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HPF
1 - 1
HAN
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |