Stormvogels vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stormvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
DEM
2 - 0
STO
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
STO
3 - 5
VVI
60%
19%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
STO
1 - 4
DEK
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SJC
4 - 3
STO
62%
18%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
KOZ
7 - 0
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
PUR
1 - 0
SOE
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SJC
1 - 4
PUR
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
PUR
2 - 3
DEM
26%
25%
50%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DEK
3 - 5
PUR
56%
21%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
DWV
3 - 1
PUR
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |