Eerste Divisie Round 21

SC Telstar vs Jong AZ analysis

SC Telstar Jong AZ
58 ELO 64
4.3% Tilt -4.5%
982º General ELO ranking 1199º
30º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
28.3%
SC Telstar
25.4%
Draw
46.2%
Jong AZ

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
SC Telstar
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.2%
Win probability
Jong AZ
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SC Telstar
+40%
+2%
Jong AZ

Points and table prediction

SC Telstar
Their league position
Jong AZ
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
15º
20º
17º
56
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Willem II
79
79
100%
Groningen
75
75
100%
Roda JC
75
75
100%
Dordrecht
69
69
100%
ADO Den Haag
63
63
0%
De Graafschap
63
63
0%
Emmen
57
57
100%
NAC Breda
56
56
0%
MVV Maastricht
56
56
100%
Jong AZ
10º
56
56
10º
0%
Helmond Sport
11º
51
51
11º
100%
VVV Venlo
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Cambuur
13º
47
47
13º
100%
FC Eindhoven
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Jong Ajax
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Jong PSV
16º
40
40
16º
100%
SC Telstar
17º
35
35
17º
100%
TOP Oss
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
SC Telstar
Jong AZ
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

SC Telstar
Jong AZ
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Telstar
SC Telstar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
TEL
SC Telstar
3 - 1
Koninklijke HFC
KON
52%
22%
25%
57 53 4 0
22 Dec. 2023
VVV
VVV Venlo
2 - 1
SC Telstar
TEL
65%
21%
14%
58 67 9 -1
15 Dec. 2023
TEL
SC Telstar
0 - 2
Dordrecht
FCD
32%
25%
43%
58 63 5 0
08 Dec. 2023
GRO
Groningen
2 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
58%
24%
17%
59 69 10 -1
04 Dec. 2023
JUT
Jong Utrecht
0 - 0
SC Telstar
TEL
34%
27%
39%
59 55 4 0

Matches

Jong AZ
Jong AZ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2024
ALK
Jong AZ
0 - 0
IJsselmeervogels
IJS
68%
18%
14%
64 54 10 0
06 Jan. 2024
HHC
HHC Hardenberg
1 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
23%
21%
56%
64 55 9 0
23 Dec. 2023
ALK
Jong AZ
1 - 2
ADO Den Haag
ADO
23%
24%
52%
64 75 11 0
15 Dec. 2023
BVO
Cambuur
1 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
64%
21%
16%
63 71 8 +1
11 Dec. 2023
ALK
Jong AZ
0 - 0
Den Bosch
BOS
69%
19%
12%
63 53 10 0