FA Cup . Previa 1
Global 3-2
Stone Old Alleynians vs Cogenhoe United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stone Old Alleynians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COG
1 - 1
SOA
19%
19%
62%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SOA
1 - 1
WOL
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
RCW
3 - 3
SOA
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
UTF
2 - 2
SOA
15%
18%
66%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
SOA
1 - 1
BEW
73%
16%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cogenhoe United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COG
1 - 1
SOA
19%
19%
62%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
COG
0 - 1
BUG
55%
21%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
RUG
2 - 1
COG
74%
16%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LUT
1 - 4
COG
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
COG
1 - 3
NOC
57%
21%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |