Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
MIL
3 - 0
STO
38%
29%
32%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
STO
1 - 3
CAM
74%
18%
8%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1978 |
CHA
2 - 3
STO
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
SUN
0 - 1
STO
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
STO
2 - 1
SHE
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
OLD
2 - 1
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
OLD
2 - 0
LUT
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
MIL
2 - 3
OLD
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
OLD
0 - 0
SUN
39%
25%
35%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
SHE
4 - 2
OLD
61%
21%
17%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |