Stoke City vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NTT
2 - 2
STO
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
STO
3 - 0
SWA
41%
28%
32%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
STO
2 - 0
WIG
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
HUR
1 - 1
STO
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
COV
1 - 0
STO
37%
29%
34%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
BIR
3 - 0
LUT
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
BOU
3 - 1
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 2
SHE
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
DER
2 - 2
BIR
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 2
POS
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |