Steyning Town vs Horsham YMCA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Steyning Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2022 |
PAG
0 - 1
STC
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
STC
1 - 1
EAS
69%
17%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LOX
2 - 3
STC
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
STC
0 - 0
AUC
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
LIT
8 - 0
STC
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
BRO
1 - 0
HOR
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
HOR
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 0
LOX
91%
7%
3%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
EAS
0 - 1
HOR
10%
14%
76%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 0
HOR
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |