Stevo vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GER
2 - 2
STE
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
HEI
4 - 0
STE
45%
22%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
STE
0 - 2
DEZ
60%
19%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
QUI
6 - 2
STE
64%
18%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ORI
1 - 4
STE
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
DEZ
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
QUI
4 - 0
ALC
73%
15%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 0
HEI
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TVC
1 - 2
ALC
46%
24%
31%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALC
2 - 1
GER
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |