National League Round 24

Stevenage vs Hayes FC analysis

Stevenage Hayes FC
55 ELO 39
7.2% Tilt -3.9%
2180º General ELO ranking 19815º
60º Country ELO ranking 934º
ELO win probability
73.6%
Stevenage
16.1%
Draw
10.4%
Hayes FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
Stevenage
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.4%
Win probability
Hayes FC
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Stevenage
Hayes FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stevenage
Stevenage
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2000
HAY
Hayes FC
0 - 1
Stevenage
STE
25%
25%
50%
55 39 16 0
22 Dec. 2000
STE
Stevenage
2 - 2
Southport
SOU
58%
23%
20%
55 52 3 0
16 Dec. 2000
STE
Stevenage
3 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
67%
20%
14%
55 46 9 0
02 Dec. 2000
DON
Doncaster Rovers
0 - 0
Stevenage
STE
35%
26%
39%
55 47 8 0
25 Nov. 2000
STE
Stevenage
2 - 5
Kingstonian
KIN
65%
20%
15%
56 46 10 -1

Matches

Hayes FC
Hayes FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2000
HAY
Hayes FC
0 - 1
Stevenage
STE
25%
25%
50%
39 55 16 0
23 Dec. 2000
CHE
Chester
0 - 0
Hayes FC
HAY
69%
18%
13%
39 54 15 0
16 Dec. 2000
DOV
Dover Athletic
4 - 1
Hayes FC
HAY
62%
21%
17%
40 48 8 -1
09 Dec. 2000
HAY
Hayes FC
0 - 3
Rushden & Diamonds
RUS
25%
25%
50%
41 54 13 -1
02 Dec. 2000
BOS
Boston United
0 - 1
Hayes FC
HAY
65%
19%
15%
39 50 11 +2