National League Round 43

Stevenage vs Ebbsfleet United analysis

Stevenage Ebbsfleet United
64 ELO 52
13.5% Tilt 6.8%
2159º General ELO ranking 7297º
60º Country ELO ranking 273º
ELO win probability
72.6%
Stevenage
17.2%
Draw
10.1%
Ebbsfleet United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
Stevenage
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.1%
Win probability
Ebbsfleet United
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stevenage
-1%
+37%
Ebbsfleet United

ELO progression

Stevenage
Ebbsfleet United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stevenage
Stevenage
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2009
STE
Stevenage
2 - 1
Cambridge United
CAM
60%
22%
18%
63 60 3 0
04 Apr. 2009
KID
Kidderminster Harriers
4 - 2
Stevenage
STE
35%
27%
38%
64 60 4 -1
31 Mar. 2009
YOR
York City
0 - 2
Stevenage
STE
28%
27%
46%
63 55 8 +1
28 Mar. 2009
STE
Stevenage
1 - 1
Oxford United
OXF
60%
22%
18%
63 59 4 0
24 Mar. 2009
HIS
Histon
0 - 0
Stevenage
STE
42%
25%
33%
63 60 3 0

Matches

Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 2009
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
1 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
31%
27%
42%
53 61 8 0
07 Apr. 2009
MAN
Mansfield Town
2 - 0
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
43%
26%
31%
54 52 2 -1
04 Apr. 2009
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
1 - 0
Northwich Victoria
NOR
64%
21%
16%
53 43 10 +1
02 Apr. 2009
EAS
Eastbourne Borough
0 - 1
Ebbsfleet United
EBB
39%
27%
34%
53 52 1 0
31 Mar. 2009
EBB
Ebbsfleet United
1 - 0
Altrincham
ALT
58%
23%
19%
52 48 4 +1