Stevenage vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
TOT
3 - 1
STE
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
EXE
1 - 1
STE
25%
28%
48%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
STE
2 - 2
HUR
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 0
STE
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
STE
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
PNE
0 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
TRA
62%
22%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 4
CHA
29%
26%
45%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
SHW
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |