Stevenage vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
STE
0 - 2
MAN
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 0
STE
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 2
STE
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
STE
2 - 2
YOR
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
STE
2 - 1
PLY
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
LEY
1 - 2
CUM
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CUM
0 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
LIV
1 - 1
CUM
79%
16%
6%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
YOR
2 - 2
CUM
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CUM
2 - 1
DAG
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |