Stella vs Denguelé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
STE
4 - 1
ABE
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
STE
0 - 1
AFA
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
STE
0 - 2
SOA
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
KOR
0 - 1
STE
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
JCA
2 - 1
STE
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Denguelé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DEN
0 - 0
SPO
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SOA
1 - 0
DEN
50%
26%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
AFA
3 - 3
DEN
45%
29%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
DEN
0 - 0
JCA
44%
29%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SEW
2 - 2
DEN
47%
28%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |