FCSB vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
2º
1º
35
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 18 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 18 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 17 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 16 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
28.5% | 13.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
36% | 13.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
32% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
3.5% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
2 - 2
STB
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 2
RAP
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 1
STB
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 0
CSU
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
STB
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 1
RAP
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 1
CLU
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
SFC
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
STB
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |