FCSB vs Farul Constanța analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
3º
3º
36
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
2 - 2
STB
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 2
RAP
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 1
STB
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
STB
2 - 0
CSU
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
STB
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Farul Constanța
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
3 - 1
RAP
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
5 - 1
CLU
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
CSU
1 - 2
SFC
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SSG
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
STB
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |