Standard de Liège vs Excelsior Mouscron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
SDL
2 - 1
GER
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 1
SDL
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
SDL
3 - 1
BRU
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BER
1 - 1
SDL
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SDL
3 - 0
KVC
59%
23%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 0
LOK
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 0
DEN
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
GER
2 - 2
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
3 - 0
CHA
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BRU
4 - 2
EXC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |