Stafford Rangers vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stafford Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
BEL
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 1
RFC
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
2 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GAI
0 - 0
RFC
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 2
RFC
31%
25%
45%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
KID
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
BED
0 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
BED
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 2
NEW
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +1 |