Swiss Super League Normal Season Round 16

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Basel analysis

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Basel
71 ELO 82
12.5% Tilt 4.8%
880º General ELO ranking 235º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21.9%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
21.7%
Draw
56.4%
Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.4%
Win probability
Basel
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
+11%
+19%
Basel

Points and table prediction

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Their league position
Basel
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
12º
12º
40
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Boys
65
65
100%
FC Lugano
59
59
100%
Servette
57
57
100%
Zurich
49
49
0%
Winterthur
49
49
0%
St. Gallen
48
48
100%
Luzern
44
44
100%
Lausanne Sports
40
40
0%
Basel
40
40
0%
Yverdon
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Grasshopper
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
12º
23
23
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Basel
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Basel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
LAU
Lausanne Sports
1 - 0
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
49%
25%
26%
71 74 3 0
12 Nov. 2023
GCZ
Grasshopper
5 - 2
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
53%
24%
23%
72 75 3 -1
05 Nov. 2023
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2 - 5
St. Gallen
STG
23%
21%
56%
72 82 10 0
01 Nov. 2023
SER
Servette
1 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
59%
22%
19%
72 80 8 0
28 Oct. 2023
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
71%
18%
12%
72 83 11 0

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
BAS
Basel
2 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
37%
24%
40%
81 83 2 0
12 Nov. 2023
SER
Servette
4 - 1
Basel
BAS
38%
25%
37%
81 81 0 0
05 Nov. 2023
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
Yverdon
YVE
65%
20%
15%
81 70 11 0
01 Nov. 2023
KRI
SC Kriens
0 - 1
Basel
BAS
8%
14%
79%
81 54 27 0
29 Oct. 2023
LAU
Lausanne Sports
3 - 0
Basel
BAS
20%
22%
58%
81 72 9 0