Norwegian Fourth Division Group 4 Round 18

Stabæk II vs Orkla analysis

Stabæk II Orkla
35 ELO 25
23.1% Tilt 23.3%
8192º General ELO ranking 12180º
112º Country ELO ranking 177º
ELO win probability
83.2%
Stabæk II
10.4%
Draw
6.4%
Orkla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
Stabæk II
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.4%
Win probability
Orkla
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stabæk II
-9%
-45%
Orkla

Points and table prediction

Stabæk II
Their league position
Orkla
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
13º
21
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Rana FK
62
62
100%
Nardo
59
59
100%
Trygg/Lade
54
54
100%
Melhus
42
42
100%
Strømsgodset II
40
40
100%
Lillestrom II
38
38
0%
Tiller IL
38
38
0%
Rosenborg II
35
35
100%
Stabæk II
32
32
100%
Byåsen
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Surnadal
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Verdal
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Orkla
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Mosjøen
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stabæk II
Orkla
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Stabæk II
Orkla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stabæk II
Stabæk II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
0 - 0
Melhus
MEL
80%
12%
8%
36 28 8 0
11 Aug. 2024
MOS
Mosjøen
0 - 7
Stabæk II
STA
8%
13%
79%
35 17 18 +1
03 Aug. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
0 - 5
Trygg/Lade
SKT
66%
17%
17%
37 35 2 -2
28 Jul. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
3 - 1
Stabæk II
STA
50%
20%
30%
38 41 3 -1
21 Jul. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
1 - 1
Byåsen
BYA
38%
23%
40%
37 43 6 +1

Matches

Orkla
Orkla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2024
ORK
Orkla
3 - 0
Verdal
VER
54%
20%
26%
22 24 2 0
10 Aug. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
5 - 0
Orkla
ORK
79%
12%
8%
22 42 20 0
05 Aug. 2024
ORK
Orkla
0 - 1
Rosenborg II
ROS
37%
20%
43%
23 27 4 -1
27 Jul. 2024
TIL
Tiller IL
2 - 1
Orkla
ORK
66%
18%
16%
23 32 9 0
24 Jul. 2024
ORK
Orkla
1 - 2
Trygg/Lade
SKT
36%
21%
43%
24 35 11 -1