Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 0-1
Stabæk vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
STB
0 - 1
SOG
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
STB
23%
22%
56%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
LSK
0 - 5
STB
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
FAL
0 - 1
STB
25%
22%
53%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
IKS
0 - 5
STB
28%
25%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
STB
23%
22%
56%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 2
CON
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
AIR
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CON
0 - 1
BAL
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -2 |