St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs La Roche Vendée analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
9º
14º
11º
48
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
79.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SCB
0 - 1
SPG
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SPG
0 - 1
CHA
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
USS
4 - 1
SPG
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 2
FON
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 0
ESO
13%
17%
70%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +4 |
Matches
La Roche Vendée
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 1
LAV
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
LRO
18%
22%
61%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
LRO
2 - 0
LEM
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LPS
1 - 1
LRO
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LRO
3 - 2
ACP
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |