St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Stade Lavallois II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
14º
11º
34
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
68% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
SPG
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 1
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PAN
1 - 2
SPG
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SPG
1 - 3
CHA
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FON
1 - 1
SPG
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
LAV
1 - 1
ESO
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LAT
1 - 1
LAV
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LAV
1 - 0
ANG
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SAB
2 - 2
LAV
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LAV
0 - 0
ASC
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |